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Here’s your weekly rundown of the global security landscape, highlighting key incidents that have taken place from each region in the last seven days; 
Intelligence Insight Weekly - What's Happening in Asia?
MIDDLE EAST & ASIAKhuzestan Province, IranProtesters gathered in multiple locations in Iran’s Khuzestan Province earlier this week over chronic water shortages in the area. Authorities responded to the protest with force and cut off internet connection in certain regions to limit communication. Despite internet blackouts, multiple videos have been released online showing clashes between security forces and protesters, with security forces firing live rounds and tear gas at protesters leading to unknown numbers of casualties. Protesters have also been seen in possession of firearms and are reported to have engaged in shootouts with police. Casualties from armed clashes are unclear, but Iranian media has reported the death of a police officer during a shootout with unidentified gunmen. In response to the protest, the Iranian government has attempted to resolve the underlying water shortage issues which have plagued the region for decades. However, the harsh response to protests and accusations of shortages being worsened by government mismanagement and corruption will likely broaden the divide between the government and the region, raising the likelihood of similar protests in the future.
Insight Weekly - Europe Image
EUROPEProtests Across EuropeOver the last seven days there have been numerous protests across France against government moves to introduce a ‘Pass Sanitaire (Health Pass) requirement as well as a riot in Syntagma Square in Athens, Greece following government efforts to impose mandatory COVID-19 vaccinations. While France has large-scale, nationwide protests on a regular basis and Syntagma Square protests often descend into riots, the potential for mandatory vaccination regulations has featured in numerous countries across Europe; the UK government is currently mulling the possibility of mandatory vaccinations. In addition, this weekend will see another effort at Worldwide Rally for Freedom protests in major cities. These recent developments surrounding mandatory vaccination will provide a potential rallying call for these protests. Given the numerous occasions where anti-lockdown protests have descended into riots, these upcoming protests have the potential to attract large numbers of attendees due to recent developments surrounding mandatory vaccination regulations; which will increase the potential for rioting to break out.
 
Intelligence Insight Weekly - What's Happening in Africa?
AFRICATunisiaWith cases of COVID-19 rapidly rising in Tunisia, President Kais Saied has put the military in charge of managing the crisis after Prime Minister Hichem Mechichi sacked Health Minister Faouzi Mehdi. Lockdowns have been imposed in the country and a number of hospitals have also reported shortages of oxygen supplies. Before his sacking, the Minister of Health called on public and private health establishments to ration oxygen use. In parallel to the COVID-19 crisis, political tensions also remain high with the “July 25th Movement” recently calling for protests in Tunisia. Among their demands is the dissolution of Parliament. Since the start of 2021, there have been anti-government protests and general strikes have also been called to condemn marginalisation in some regions of the country, living conditions, unemployment and poor development. The resurgence of COVID-19 cases will put further pressure on the Tunisian government and the economy, and add to deteriorating living conditions.
Insight Weekly - North America Image
NORTH AMERICAMexicoOn the 17th July, four armed members of the Gulf Cartel (Cartel del Golfo) rescued a military deserter who was under guard at the Reynosa General Hospital. The suspects allegedly threw caltrops on the road leading from the hospital to impede the pursuit of authorities. It was later reported that the Special Operations Group detained the men, including the injured military deserter, several hours after they fled the hospital. The incident follows on from an encounter on the 13th July where a group of 30 armed men wearing military uniforms rescued a leader of the Gulf Cartel known as “Metro 27” from the State Attorney’s Office facilities. The leader had been detained the previous night in the municipality of Diaz Ordaz. It was during the initial operation to rescue “Metro 27” that the military deserter had been injured; reports suggest he was amongst the group of Gulf Cartel members who stormed the State Attorney’s Office facilities. The Gulf Cartel has a history of involving military personnel, with Mexican Special Forces soldiers recruited to form the military armed wing of the cartel in the 1990s. Despite in-fighting between factions of the cartel, individuals associated with the group remain responsible for a large proportion of drug trafficking and migrant smuggling activities at the U.S.-Mexico border. Significant profits gained by cartel associates from such activities, alongside accusations of poor pay amongst state security personnel across Tamaulipas has contributed to high levels of corruption and involvement in illegal activities amongst the military.
Insight Weekly - South America Image
SOUTH AMERICAComplexo do Salgueiro, BrazilOn the morning of Friday 16th July, Brazilian police responded to reports of a hostage-taking in Complexo do Salgueiro, a neighbourhood just outside Rio de Janeiro. Police shot and killed four suspects, including two local leaders of the criminal group Comando Vermelho (CV), or Red Command. The alleged hostages have not yet been located. Red Command has a significant social leadership role in many of Rio de Janeiro’s marginalised neighbourhoods, including in Complexo do Salgueiro, where the group ordered residents to stay indoors and close their businesses following the incident. Although continued gunfire was reported in the area, no significant retaliatory attacks have been reported so far. Earlier in June, Red Command unleashed a wave of violence after one of their leaders was killed by police in Manaus, when retaliatory attacks were reported in eight different cities across the state of Amazonas.
 
📽🎙🖥️ THE INSIGHT: An Intelligence Fusion Video Series  A video series that takes a closer look at key incidents and events, providing you with wider analysis on security trends, evolving patterns and unexplored geopolitical themes from every corner of the globe.
LATEST EPISODE:
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How is the Libyan civil war impacting the oil and gas industry in 2021? In the latest episode of The Insight video series, Intelligence Fusion’s Senior Intelligence Analyst for Africa, Viraj Pattni, explains what’s happening with the Libyan civil war in 2021 and the current and future threats facing the country’s vital oil and gas industry.
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